Discussion > Unprecedented events/weather records?
Duke of Buckingham's Water
1483
It came as quite a shock in the wet summer of 2007 to discover how the Rivers Wye and Severn can devastate so much of middle England in floods. But these rivers have a long history of disastrous flooding, and in one case helped defeat a rebellion that threatened the monarchy.
...Buckingham planned on raising forces in and around Wales, before crossing the River Severn at Gloucester and joining up with other rebel forces in the West of England. Buckingham declared his rebellion at Brecon, South Wales on 18 October, but his advance was soon stopped dead in its tracks by a fearful storm. 'In the evening there was the greatest wind ever heard of, which caused a wonderful great flood in most part of the land from Bristol to "Mount" and many other places, drowning the Counties roundabout,' recorded one chronicle of the time.
The rains were horrendous and both the River Wye in Herefordshire and the Severn in Worcestershire rose rapidly. 'There was so great an inundation of water that men were drowned in their beds, houses were overturned, children were carried about the fields swimming in cradles, beats were drowned on the hills.' This extraordinary flood was reckoned to have drowned over 200 people and afterwards became known as 'the Duke of Buckingham's Water'.
Crossing of the Severn was impossible for ten days and left Buckingham hopelessly stranded.....
It has been shown repeatedly that the severity of storms has not increased, most effectively by Pielke Fils.
If the globe warms, the severity of storms will decrease, because the severity is related to the gradient between the temperatures of the tropics and the temperature of the poles. The equator can't warm, so with warming that gradient will decrease, diminishing the severity of storms and other weather events.
That is just another truth to which the likes of Phil are not exposed.
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London Flood
1928
When the Romans established Londinium they soon realised that the Thames was a dangerous river prone to flooding, so they built embankments along the riverbanks. In 1099 the Anglo-Saxon Chronicle relates that 'On the festival of St Martin [11 November], the sea flood sprung up to such a height and did so much harm as no man remembered that it ever did before.' At Woolwich in 1237 the marshes were described as 'a sea wherein many were drowned' and in the Great Hall at Westminster Palace lawyers had to row around in wherries, row boats. In 1242 the river overflowed at Lambeth over 6 miles, which would have included all the land up to and past Elephant and Castle, including, perhaps ironically, Waterloo.
Flood water receding from the Great Hall of Westminster Palace in 1579 left fishes gasping on its floor.
'There was last night the greatest tide that ever was remembered in England to have been in this River, all Whitehall having been drowned,' wrote Samuel Pepys in his diary on 7 December 1663.
These days the threat of Thames floods is worsening. As Britain recovers from the last ice age, southern England is sinking about 1ft a century. On top of that, sea levels are rising because of global warming [I told you the book acknowledges global warming and is not written to disprove it]. As a result, tie levels are rising in the Thames Estuary relative to the land by about 23.5in per century. Surge tides from storms down the North Sea are a particular threat: when a trough of low pressure moves across the Atlantic towards the British Isles, the sea beneath it rises above the normal level, creating a 'hump' of water that can sometimes threaten London.
This is how London came close to catastrophe in January 1928. Christmas had been unusually cold and snowy, and when the snows melted on 2 January it coincided with a terrific downpour of heavy rain, swelling the river. Then in a further blow, on 6 January a storm blew across Scotland, pushing water down into the funnel shape of the North Sea. As this storm surge pushed into the bottleneck of the English Channel it rose higher and pushed the swollen waters up the Thames Estuary, where they collided with the swollen waters rushing down the river. And in yet another freakish coincidence, the storm surge came at around the time of a high spring tide.
As a result, the Thames rose higher and higher until it burst through the river embankment walls. There was no warning in a dark, cold and windy night. Torrents of water rushed through roads, cascading down into basement flats, and drowned people in their beds. Those that did wake up in time fought for their lives, battling the surging waters and floating debris, imprisoned behind security bars on the outside of their windows....
River embankments were collapsing at many places among the Thames. At 1am in Putney, a large block of flats by the river was inundated and two girls in a basement flat managed to escape through a small window and swim out in the swirling waters and scream for help. Neighbours in the flat above tied together sheets to rescue the rest of their family trapped in the flat and hauled them out.
The worst of the floods struck Millbank, near the Houses of Parliament....Five people were drowned in the area, all trapped in their basements.
By midnight flooding started in Battersea, Poplar and Greenwich and at Temple underground station, Sewage seeped out at Barking as the sewage works were overwhelmed. Warehouses, factories, hospitals, town halls were flooded. The Blackwall and Rotherhithe Tunnels were flooded. The moat around the Tower of London, normally dry, was filled with water. Water cascaded into the courtyard at the foot of Big Ben and the Old Palace Yard was left a foot under water. The ground floor of the Tate Gallery was flooded, destroying a collection of Landseer pictures, Turner watercolours and drawings. One worker at the gallery was trapped in the basement and policemen had to strip off and dive into the dark waters to rescue him.
Further upriver, the London Underground power station at Lots Road was under water, which put the Underground system out of action. Chelsea and Wandsworth gasworks were partially flooded. There was even a fish caught in the police station at Battersea as it sank under water.
It was incredible that only 14 people drowned and some 4,000 people evacuated and left homeless, but London had come close to a catastrophic flood that could have killed thousands......
{if it happened today, I think we can guess how it would be reported, with "climate change" being screamed from every headline].
Icestorm
1940
Ice storms are rare in the UK, but the severest event in the record books is reckoned to be in January 1940, during the Second World War. The country had been gripped by an arctic freeze, the coldest winter for a century, with heavy snows, bitter winds, and to make matters worse food rationing was introduced on 8 January. The temperature fell to -23.3C at Rhayader in Powys, Wales on 21 January - the lowest ever recorded in Wales. Then on 27 January a savage ice storm swept much of southern Britain, as freezing rain instantly turned to ice the moment it struck anything.
The freezing rain fell for two days and encased the landscape in ice, what looked like a world of glass. Trees looked like frozen waterfalls, weighed down until they shattered. 'Beech trees could be heard crashing down all night,' reported one eyewitness in Hampshire. 'The splintering of of the ice-casing made even more noise than the rending of the wood, like broken glass.' The iced leaves of evergreen shrubs made a noise like castanets as they rattled in the wind.
Dorothy Seton-Smith in Cheltenham remembered: 'Birds froze on the boughs of trees, which looked peculiar, and hens in henhouses froze on their perch.' Frozen pheasants and rabbits could be caught by hand. Windows and doors of buildings froze solid, and some car drivers found themselves trapped inside their frozen vehicles. Umbrellas were useless as the freezing rain instantly turned solid with ice. Virginia Woolf wrote in her diary: 'The grass is brittle, all the twigs are cased in clear, brown cases and look thick, but slippery, crystallised as if they were twigs of fruit as dessert.' And she continued, 'Unable to go to London...On Sunday no cars could move...trains hours late or lost...almost out of meat.'
Thick coats of ice brought down power, phone and telegraph lines.
The Thames froze over at Kingston, Surrey for the first time since 1880, ice covered stretches of the Humber and the sea froze at Bognor Regis, Dungeness and Folkestone.
Troops leaving for France in the BEF faced huge problems simply keeping their vehicles running as anti-freeze froze in radiators....But news of the scale of the ice storm was restricted by censors until much later to prevent the enemy learning about it....
The best weather forecast in history occurred during WW2, just before D-Day
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-48498383
The forecast weather was not unprecedented, but the accuracy was.
"It was incredible that only 14 people drowned and some 4,000 people evacuated and left homeless, but London had come close to a catastrophic flood that could have killed thousands......{if it happened today, I think we can guess how it would be reported, with "climate change" being screamed from every headline]."
Jan 24, 2020 at 8:18 PM | Unregistered CommenterMark Hodgson
Only a couple of days ago I was reading about the worst natural disasters that have plagued humanity since 1900.
Not surprisingly most of these have occurred in China or the Subcontinent. A repeat of 400,000–4,000,000 deaths due to the 1931 China floods seems unthinkable today. And a quarter of a million lost has happened twice this century already (2010 Haiti earthquake and 2004 Indian Ocean earthquake and tsunami). They seem forgotten already by the world at large, especially those seeking to frighten us with computer models.
Yet here we are today with the media and Phil Clarke's friends counting a few barbecued Koala bears as harbingers of the climate apocalypse.
One death is a tragedy; one million is a statistic.
-Joseph Stalin
I sometimes wonder if global warmers in the media are closely related to Uncle Joe.
michael hart, thanks for the link. Most of the deadliest famines were before the 20th century, and they would probably be linked to climate. The 20th century famines were almost exclusively linked to political madness, eg Stalin in Ukraine, Mao in China.
The worst heat=related death events are pretty much all 20th or 21st centuries, but that's rather meaningless, given this qualification, which they do correctly mention:
"Note: Measuring the number of deaths caused by a heat wave requires complicated statistical analysis, since heat waves tend to cause large numbers of deaths among people weakened by other conditions. As a result, the number of deaths is only known with any accuracy for heat waves in the modern era in countries with developed healthcare systems." The corollary must be that deaths from heat waves in the pre-modern era just aren't known with any certainty.
Winchelsea
The Atlantis of Sussex
The old town of Winchelsea near the Sussex coast is a quaint medieval place full of bric-a-brac and cream tea shops, but strangely it was a new town planned and built on a rectangular grid pattern with streets numbered rather than named. In fact it is not the original town at all.
Old Winchelsea lay a few miles away on a large shingle bank, a major fishing and trading port famous for imports of French wines, a key gateway to Normandy, a safe anchorage for passing shipping, with a thriving shipbuilding and ship repair industry and a lucrative sideline in piracy.
But from 1233, a series of storms shattered the old town. One of the worst storms struck on 1 October 1250, described by the chronicler Raphael Holinshed: 'The sea appeared in the dark of the night to burn as if it had been on fire, and the waves to strive and fight so that the mariners could not devise how to save their ships. Three large ships and many smaller ones sank, their wreckage strewn for miles, whilst bridges, windmills and 300 houses were swamped.
Just two years later, the writer Matthew Paris told of another storm, on 14 January 1252, that swept England.
'A terrible wind prevailed - drove back the sea from the shore, tore off the roofs of houses, or threw them down, uprooted completely the largest trees, stripped churches of their lead, and did other great damage by land, and still greater by sea, and especially at the port of Winchelsea...The waves of the sea returned and came into the shore, and overflowed the mills and houses, and carried away a number of drowned men.'
Edward 1 was so concerned with Winchelsea's pummelling by storms that soon after his coronation he visited the town and realised it had to be rebuilt on another site. Plans were drawn up for a new town on a nearby hill, but before the work could be completed one last, devastating storm struck in 1287. This was so violent that the coastline was reshaped, rivers took new courses, and Old Winchelsea was wiped off the map, although its ruins appeared at low tide for years afterwards. Today the site of the old town is roughly where Pontins holiday camp lies at Camber Sands.
Jan 26, 2020 at 6:55 PM Mark Hodgson
Winchelsea was not one of the original Cinque Ports. Along with Rye, it was added as the original five were "silting up". Examination shows that sea level fell relative to land level.
I don't know what they teach Winchelsea school children about sea level rise, because for them, the opposite is true.
Years ago I learned of two areas which invite weather catastrophes, such that they are inevitable. I've recently added a third. The common theme is the need for land, therefore, hunger.
One is the Bengal coast and littoral. It is shallow enough that, despite discouragement, people settle on low lying areas and are inevitably visited by the holocaust of typhoons.
Another is the variable edge of the Sahara, where land becomes greener long enough to be populated, then dries out.
The third is the valleys of the great Chinese rivers. Floods do come, and have forever.
I've no solution, except a world rich enough to rescue the vulnerable when the inevitable occurs.
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Without a doubt there are many such areas, though these three may well have the greatest magnitude.
Enrich the world, and the atmosphere, with cheap energy.
There it is, and you are welcome.
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The Margate Desert
1921
In 1921 England was gripped by an extraordinarily prolonged drought. High pressure from the Azores remained stuck for almost the entire year, in what was the most anti-cyclonic year since records of pressure began in 1861.
Kent was hit especially hard, and the countryside turned into a parched yellow landscape shimmering in heat hazes, more like the Mediterranean in the height of summer. Margate was hit worst of all, with a mere 9.29in rainfall over the entire year, a record for the lowest ever yearly rainfall anywhere in the UK. I fact, it tehnically qualified as a desert, defined as a year's average rainfallless than 10in precipitation.
...The skies over London remained stubbornly clear and dry...In fact, hardly a drop of rain fell until mid-September. It was the best season for Britain's holiday resorts and August Bank Holiday was reported the most prosperous...
Even October carried on as if summer had never ended, thanks to persistent anti-cyclones. It was the sunniest October on record, and crowds flocked to the seaside in temperatures hitting the high 20s celsius....Temperatures peaked at 29C on 5 and 6 October in London...
By then the country was in chronic drought. The annual ploughing match at Margate had to be postponed because the ground was so hard, and as the Isle of Thanet Gazette remarked, 'Never before has Margate enjoyed such a summer of sunshine...It will go down in history of the wonder-year of weather.' Over the whole of England and Wales, it was the second driest year on record.
However, the north of Scotland did not share in the heat, though, and in early October it broke another record, when a coastguard officer reported two large icebergs about 30 miles north of the Butt of Lewis. 'Not within living memory have icebergs been seen in these waters, and their proximity goes far to explain the low temperatures previously lately in the North of Scotland,' observed the Daily Telegraph.
Hurricane Hazel - Storm Information
The reason for the severity of the Humber flood was explained by Robert Campbell in the Toronto Star on October 16, 1954. “The Humber River rises in the Peel Plains about 113 kilometres north of Lake Ontario. The plains have a hard clay base and any heavy rainfall rushes off almost immediately. The Humber River takes it all.” The Humber River watershed is approximately 777 kilometres squared in area and received 229 mm of rainfall. One inch of rain on one square mile of land equals 14.5 million gallons of water; for the entire watershed, approximately 151 billion litres of water fell during Hazel or 200 million tons (Kennedy). “It was like dumping a lake the size of Lake Simcoe on the Humber River drainage area and having it all trying to get out by way of the river at once,” Turnbull told the Toronto Star (October 23, 1954). The Toronto Star reported that 246 billion litres of rain fell on the combined Don and Humber watersheds.
https://www.ec.gc.ca/ouragans-hurricanes/default.asp?lang=En&n=5C4829A9-1
What follows will probably be my last quote from Paul Simons' book "Since Records Began" - not because there aren't loads more examples of extreme weather events from the distant past in it (there are), but because under "fair usage" rules I suspect I'm coming close to the limit of direct quotes that it's reasonable to add here. I don't want to upset Mr Simons, nor do I wish to cause unnecessary problems for our host. So, here's one last event, from the book (as and when I note others in other books, I'll add them, but it's likely to be much more occasional going forward).
The Great Storm
1703
British storms, by and large, hardly compare to the power of tropical cyclones, typhoons and hurricanes. But on 26 November 1703, the worst storm recorded in English history was so ferocious it would qualify as a Category 3 hurricane. Nothing in recent times has come close to the ferocity, death and destruction of such a tempest. Winds raged up to 120mph through the night, driving up waves 60ft high that pulverised the coastline. The storm carved a swath 100 miles wide through southern England, devastating towns and cities, and left some 8,000 people dead. Around a tenth of the Royal Navy's manpower was lost, along with some of its finest warships. Millions of trees were torn up, barns swept away and windmills burnt down. 'Never was such a storm of wind, such a hurricane and tempest known in the memory of man, nor the like to be found in the histories ofEngland,' wrote the Observator newspaper.
That November was incredibly stormy as a series of Atlantic gales swept the country. But on 25 November a lull in the winds allowed ships to make for safe anchorages as ports around the coast frantically unloaded cargoes and berthed vessels, with every harbour and estuary full of merchant vessels....
This was the calm before the storm, though, and the following morning the winds picked up again. By nightfall the sky was thick with clouds and the wind was howling. Ships' barometers recorded alarming falls as a depression from the Atlantic exploded in what meteorologists today call a 'bomb' for the way its pressure suddenly plunged to an intense low. ...
Not even the best defended harbours were safe. Ships were ripped off their anchors in ports and left battered on stone walls, smashed into each other, or tossed out to sea. One small ship anchored in the River Helford in Cornwall was torn off its moorings, hurled out to sea, and eight hours later ended up aground on the Isle of Wight , 275 miles away.
...The greatest shipping losses struck the northeast coast of Kent, where some 160 merchant ships and several men-of-war came to grief, many driven on to the Goodwin Sands, a notorious stretch of shoals and sandbars. However, in one dramatic escape the Association, a giant 96 gun man-of-war of the Royal Navy, was ripped off its anchorage on the Essex coast near Harwich and hurled across the North Sea all the way to Gothenburg, Sweden.
The Severn Estuary caught the full fury of the storm as a storm surge piled directly into its funnel-shaped mouth. As the mass of water rammed into the neck of the estuary it got squeezed, the sea level rose rapidly and burst through the earth bank sea defences and inundated the flatlands of Monmouth and Somerset. Thousands of sheep and cattle were washed away like flotsam, villages and farms disappeared, and even ships were swept inland on the surging waters - one vessel was dumped 15 miles inshore. The bodies of hundreds of sailors from shipwrecks were found in fields for weeks afterwards.
Further inland, the country rapidly took on the look of a battlefield. Streets were left scattered with debris from hundreds of slates torn off roofs, crashed chimneys and fallen trees. The Bishop of Bath and Wells and his wife were both crushed to death by a falling chimney that smashed through their roof, bedroom and and down onto the ground below....
London received the full onslaught of the storm at around 3am. Entire houses collapsed, others lost roofs, walls and windows. Falling chimneys made lethal bombs that crashed through densely packed buildings....
...[Daniel Defoe] estimated that 400 windmills were destroyed as their wooden brakes broke and their sails spun out of control so furiously that the intense friction set the mills ablaze.
At least 123 people were killed on land apart from thousands lost at sea, but these are only rough estimates and the true figures were possibly much higher. Considering that the population of England was only about 5 million, this was a huge loss, and by far the deadliest storm in recorded English history....
Humber Flood. This report is typical of a newspaper explanation of how rivers operate and occasionally flood - rain falls in the catchment area, flows into the river and flows away. In this particular case, the transfer to the river was facilitated by the clay nature of the substrate. But most rivers don't operate this way, if they did they would only flow for a few days immediately after a rainfall. Most rivers operate by accepting overland flows, which are responsible for peak river flows, and normal flows are fed primarily from groundwater. Commonly half of the water flow in river valleys is hidden as groundwater flows. Also there is exchange between surface and subsurface flows, such that contamination of one will cause contamination of the other.
In the Humber River case a substantial portion of an intense rainfall event was transferred by overland flow to the river because rates of transfer to the subsurface were slow (delayed by the clayey nature of the substrate). This happens in almost all rivers to various degrees dependent more on the intensity of the rainfall (or snow melt) than the permeability of the substrate
"This happens in almost all rivers to various degrees dependent more on the intensity of the rainfall (or snow melt) than the permeability of the substrate
Jan 29, 2020 at 12:18 PM AK"
An interesting comparison with:
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1947_Thames_flood
More extreme weather, this time from the New Scientist, of all places:
https://www.newscientist.com/article/2183901-a-freak-1870s-climate-event-caused-drought-across-three-continents/
"Warning from history
The drought happened before greenhouse gas emissions had affected the climate. “That’s why it is a cause for concern,” says Singh. If it happened once, it could happen again, and we don’t know how often."
There's a link to another NS article -
https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg21228352-500-climate-known-there-will-be-more-floods-and-droughts/
A quote from it -
"Warm air holds more moisture: about 5 per cent more for each 1 °C temperature increase. This means more rain or snow overall, and more intense rain or snowfall on average.This trend is already evident, and is stronger than models predict.
More intense precipitation means more floods. While we can’t say whether a particular flood is due to climate change, modelling indicates that climate change is making such events far more likely and more extreme. The many floods in the past year or two, from Pakistan to the US, might not have broken so many records had the world not been warming.
Although most of the world will get more rainfall on average, dry periods will still occur from time to time. When they do, soils will dry out faster because of the higher temperatures. Once soils dry out, the sun’s heat goes into warming the land rather than evaporating water, triggering or exacerbating heatwaves. This was one of the reasons for the record-breaking heatwave of 2003 in Europe."
Lock-down reading brings this thread back to life.
"A People's Tragedy - the Russian Revolution 1891-1924" by Orlando Figes, chapter 5, opens with:
"After a year of meteorological disasters the peasants of the Volga region found themselves facing starvation in the summer of 1891. As they surveyed their ruined crops, they might have been forgiven for believing that God had singled them out for particular punishment. The seeds they had planted the previous autumn barely had time to germinate before the frosts arrived. There had been precious little snow to protect the young plants in the winter, when the temperature averaged 30 degrees below zero. Spring brought with it dusty winds that blew away the topsoil and then, as early as April, the long dry summer began. In Tsaritsyn there had been no rain for 96 consecutive days, in Saratov none for 88, and in Orenburg none for more than 100. Wells and ponds dried up, the scorched earth cracked, forests went prematurely brown, and cattle died died by the roadsides. The peasants pinned their last hopes on the harvest. But the crops that survived turned out to be small and burned by the sun. In Voronezh the harvest of rye was less than 0.1 pud (1.6 kg) per inhabitant, compared with a normal yield of 15 pud....."
If it happened today, I can readily imagine the BBC and Guardian headlines about man-made climate chaos.
Mark Hodgson
It is worse than that....
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_famine_of_1891
"Weather alone cannot be blamed as there was enough grain in Russia to feed the starving areas.[citation needed] The peasants used *medieval technology like wooden ploughs and sickles*. They rarely had modern fertilizers or machinery"
Before the internal combustion engine, but without the benefits of the Industrial Revolution they starved. The Green Blob will probably claim that modern hardwood ploughs and s sickles are a great improvement, along with their urine extraction expertise for nitrate fertilisers.
The reason for the severity of the Humber flood was explained by Robert Campbell in the Toronto Star on October 16, 1954. “The Humber River rises in the Peel Plains about 113 kilometres north of Lake Ontario. The plains have a hard clay base and any heavy rainfall rushes off almost immediately. The Humber River takes it all.” The Humber River watershed is approximately 777 kilometres squared in area and received 229 mm of rainfall. One inch of rain on one square mile of land equals 14.5 million gallons of water; for the entire watershed, approximately 151 billion litres of water fell during Hazel or 200 million tons (Kennedy). “It was like dumping a lake the size of Lake Simcoe on the Humber River drainage area and having it all trying to get out by way of the river at once,” Turnbull told the Toronto Star (October 23, 1954). The Toronto Star reported that 246 billion litres of rain fell on the combined Don and Humber watersheds.
From Molly Lefebure's book, "Cumbrian Discovery", published in 1977, page 230:
"At Grasmoor's feet lies Cinderdale Common, so named after the smelting that once went on here; while further on lies Lanthwaite Green, where the early British had a large settlement: but few traces of it now remain, for all this area of flat land lying at the feet of these fells and extending down to the lake and even away to the plain of the Cocker itself was laid waste by a disaster which occurred in 1760. On 9 September of that year a terrible storm burst over the Coledale Fells. An enormous deluge of water tore its way down Gasket Gill, between Grasmoor and Whiteside, to explode over Lanthwaite Green. "It laid devastate ten acres with stones." Brackenthwaite, the hamlet of Scale Hill, escaped only by what at the time seemed a miracle. The avalanche of water, mud and stone, wrenched from the sides of the mountains as the flood rushed down the funnel-like gill, accumulated material as it travelled; every wall and building was destroyed, boulders were uprooted, each swollen beck added to the tide, which at last poured into the River Cocker. This, in turn, burst its banks, to become a vast, stagnant inundation. West, describing the affected area 30 years later, spoke of the "great ruin" still visible.
"Fearful storms and deluges occur from time to time in the Lake Country, usually in late summer. The last was in 1966, when devastation was caused in Borrowdale on such a scale that it was suggested that it should be designated a "disaster area". Today [1977], evidence of the havoc may still be seen in Stonethwaite and Rosthwaite, while the appearance of Seathwaite, the lower slopes of the Sty, and the area above Burnthwaite, at Wastdale Head, is entirely altered. Visitors who were staying in Borrowdale at the time returned home with goggle-eyed tales of cars caught in the tops of trees and furniture afloat in hotel lounges and bar parlours. Fortunately the storm broke in the late afternoon, before campers were in their tents, therefore no human lives were lost, but Seathwaite poultry drowned in multitudes and sheep by the score."
In 1760 and 1966 people didn't know that they should blame all this on CAGW.
Local knowledge and local history is ignored by Experts, unless it suits their purposes.
https://www.timesandstar.co.uk/news/17061700.borrowdales-worst-floods-in-40-years/
26th August 2005
Borrowdale’s worst floods in 40 years
"Susan Dowie, of the Royal Oak Hotel, said: “I’ve been here since 1970 and never seen it like this. Three of the guest bedrooms are under eight inches of water. Stonethwaite beck is four metres above its normal level.”
Two tents pitched at Stonethwaite campsite were washed away."
" Campsite owner and farmer Victor Brownlee, who was drying out campers’ sleeping bags in his barn, said he hadn’t seen water as high since August 1966."
https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2020/07/22/richard-betts-needs-your-help/#comments
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/07/25/slate-the-first-undeniable-climate-change-deaths/
"When record breaking cold occurs it is just weather, but according to Slate, climate attribution, the science of retrofitting explanations to unusual weather events after they happened, can demonstrate that a single unusual heatwave is evidence of climate change."
//
"Climate attribution science would be a little more believable if it could predict unusual events in advance, say give a year or two warning that Japan was about to suffer an extreme heatwave. Providing explanations of events which have already happened does not demonstrate skill."
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_European_windstorms