Buy

Books
Click images for more details

Twitter
Support

 

Recent comments
Recent posts
Currently discussing
Links

A few sites I've stumbled across recently....

Powered by Squarespace

Unthreaded

tomo,
Indeed, bureaucrats love credentials, it gives them more stuff to have rules about.

I only gave half the case for credentialism the other day. Finger pointing is the reason for someone to *require* credentials. For the people *with* the credentials, credentialism is very nice too, because it keeps out the "unqualified" (there are cities in the USA that require formal qualifications to set up shop as a beautician).

It would be a tremendous advance if universities returned to being places where boffins indulged their special curiosities. That particular Nirvana seems a long way away. Skipped a show on telly last night, but not before doing a double-take that Dr Alice Roberts has had a promotion: she's now Professor Alice Roberts. Our Nirvana appears to be filling up with photogenic professors.

The AI stuff is becoming a haven for finger-pointers too. Wrong answer. Ok. Was it the programming? Was it the training? Kind of fun that, when they do go rogue, they get sent off to re-education camps.

Thanks for the reminder of the Star Trek movie — easily the best of them, and that was one of its best moments.

On the pi quiz, the follow-up question should have been Tell me the next 10 digits of pi.

Dec 17, 2023 at 10:57 PM | Unregistered CommenterRobert Swan

Evidently ChatGPT needs a course in transcendental meditation.

Dec 16, 2023 at 10:40 AM | Unregistered CommenterIt doesn't add up...
Dec 15, 2023 at 1:50 AM | Unregistered Commenter.

Robert

argh!! accreditation with government and their mates - I went around this in the 1990s - I did occasional work for a computer broker who was early in the refurb laptop game - the way the big manufacturers worked was they shifted old (3yrs +), marginally useful, low spec kit with a sweetener of recent (current) low priced "corporate overstock" but again low spec models - there was a scheme called "Laptops for Teachers" where the government put in a fair wedge on the purchase price - the suppliers were accredited - but by the time the press releases went out they'd appointed all the resellers - "no further applications accepted" as it turned out those accredited resellers were very often foisting those same low spec models at surprise!! - top whack and then some - to incurious public sector peeps who had no idea of the real price. Rancid.

Somewhere in there is a model for government software projects.... a swamp of grasping larceny .... with little intent to deliver anything working to people who have no clue what they're buying....

Your academia observations are spot on and the rot is widespread, coupled to insane levels of conceit + entitlement that's inculated in the ivory towers. Many universities (I use that term loosely) are accepting undergraduate entrants who are functionally innumerate, self evidently illiterate and finally, in far too many cases - utterly incurious. The incurious really should have no place in science.and the present hubris is strong

Even Open AI's much touted Chat GPT is pandering to this dumbing down - particularly wrt law and politics. IT HAS BEEN TINKERED WITH. When it launched almost exactly a year ago the quality of language in the responses was refreshing particularly with respect to legal matters, citing law and some precedents - I've watched as that has steadily been diluted - many times to absolutely farcical effect - while the AI hype has gone into orbit. Many model responses now head into "the answer is what the government / authorities say it is" where previously they cited the relevant extant statutes - I had a sneaking suspicion last year that I should've screen grabbed some responses!

Microsoft's unsupervised AI chatbot that went all sweary and right wing comes to mind.

It looks like mind control games.

Computer mice ... Star Trek

Dec 15, 2023 at 12:15 AM | Registered Commentertomo

tomo,
Perhaps the most insidious incarnation is Frank Spencer the software developer. Now you can have a perfectly competent crane operator or airline pilot, whose skills are completely nullified by the well-meaning halfwit's efforts. The reflex big government response is that we only allow accredited software developers. Of course. Now what do you do about the Frank Spencers working for the accreditors?

We've seen this play out with the credentialism and burgeoning money-tree in the universities over the last couple of decades. It has only made things worse. Credentials seem to me mostly to serve finger-pointers: Oh yes, he works for me, but he has a certificate, so talk to the people who gave him that, but the certifiers have their own underlying disclaimers and eventually you end up blaming his mother for not buying him a sled when he was four. Just stop it at the "but". He works for you: *you* put him in the plane or crane or handed him the scalpel, so it's on *you* to answer for his incompetence.

A nice side-effect of that outlook is to put the universities back where they belong. Rather than He's got a PhD, therefore my arse is covered, it's He's got a PhD, but is he any good?


Mailman,
It is a cruel thing that something like that wrong-way switch would present no great bother to someone like me, unfamiliar with the plane, but a great problem to someone so familiar with it she has it more or less in "muscle memory". Too competent (kind of).

A less dangerous case was my company's Spanish distributors back in the mid-'80s. They had taken delivery of their new Sun workstation, with snazzy optical mouse. When they stuck it on the table, the mouse happened to be back-to-front. This was before mice were terribly common, and they got used to using it that way round: clicking buttons with the thumb and movement all inverted compared to what we are used to. Worked fine for them, but strange for our guy when he went to give them a hand.

I think the obstinate Mann isn't a mindset thing. As you say, prestige and money. I was going to throw in that he has a preferred political outcome too, but on second thoughts, I don't think he's that principled. Change the prestige and money and his politics would change accordingly.

Dec 14, 2023 at 11:07 PM | Unregistered CommenterRobert Swan

Also powerful enough to make grown adult scientists dig their heals in deeper and deeper when it comes to the cult of the catastrophilia of Mann Made Global Warming (tm)....although that could be more about money and prestige than being right or wrong.

Dec 14, 2023 at 11:50 AM | Unregistered CommenterMailman

Robbo, Tommo,

A friend of mine was involved in a plane crash a number of years ago and the cause was attributed to two things, engine anti-ice switch installed upside down (so on was off and off was on) and pilot mindset (where she put the switch in the on position, which was off, and even though she could see the switch light not on...didnt change the switch position because her mindset wouldn't allow her to).

Damn powerful thing mind set! Powerful enough to have killed very experienced pilots over the years.

Dec 14, 2023 at 11:49 AM | Unregistered CommenterMailman

Robert

ah... onto a theme that I I'm fond of ....

The Frank Spencer effect...

Just because he's got a hard hat, safety specs, a hi viz gilet, safety boots and gloves doesn't make Frank a crane driver.

The unwillingness of bureaucrats to address core competency for a given task when allocating jobs is a real and serious problem. I worked at one company where recruitment was run by a pair of idiots whose primary motivation was to employ people who they didn't feel threatened by - it led to some truly crazy hires.

The NHS ? NHS ambulance trusts employ people who think that it's OK to drive around empty roads in provincial towns at 2am with the sirens going (police guilty too)

- oh and check lists clog up too -

I spent a few weeks decades ago trying assist a colleague doing critical path analysis (component single and multiple failure) in (life threatening) failure situations in an aircraft cockpit environmental system (pressurisation, temperature, oxygen) - it made my head spin. I can see why Boeing called "enough!" on the 777 software - but also I can see how they managed to mess up the 737 Max too....

Dec 14, 2023 at 7:45 AM | Registered Commentertomo

tomo,
Yes, they must have a good time setting up simulator situations. People say that the benefits of simulation runs are in preparing pilots to go into some sort of automatic emergency mode. There's probably some of that, but I suspect the larger part is simply in shaking up complacency. A bit like car drivers get when they drive past a bad accident, except the pilots aren't just imagining what happened, they were in the driving seat (albeit virtually). Would incline you to take the safety procedures seriously at least for a while. The attitude you saw at Bailbrook College fits that pretty well.

IMO you've put your finger on the next big step in airline safety as well as medicine: weeding out the weak ones. Emergency check-lists must be getting near their limit for existing planes, and they can only go so far lifting mediocre pilots. When both engines are out shortly after take-off, it's down to initiative and skill to pull off a "We'll be in the Hudson".

As you say, there's no enthusiasm for rejecting weak candidates in universities. The good news is that real world employers are realising that a university degree is no longer much of a gauge of anything. The bad news is that it'll take a while for that scepticism to trickle through to the NHS.


FWIW, this is the flight that continued without a generator. It includes a transcript from the voice recorder which shared the same battery, so gave out before the crash (probably not long before). Gives me some idea of how much of the TV show was conjecture.


Econtalk interview with Yossi Klein on the Israel/Gaza war. Somewhat partisan, but got more pushback in the comments than I expected. It is a sad thing how many innocent people have to die in the name of someone's quest for justice. A little mathematical induction makes the futility clear (at least to me):

If n wrongs don't make a right, n+1 wrongs don't make a right
1 wrong doesn't make a right
Obvious, but in the Israel conflict it seems it needs to be ennumerated all the way to infinity.

Dec 13, 2023 at 10:04 PM | Unregistered CommenterRobert Swan

Robert

good points

The flight simulator thing is interesting - programming them / setting them up for a session must be "fun" - contriving a scenario that builds, throwing an escalating sequence of fails and errors and drumming in that aviate-navigate-communicate thing. I've seen several simulator videos over the years where the overtasking led to mistakes and tunnel thinking and the "victims" were enlightened and far more wary and appreciated that the workload had to be shared at the end of it. But we still see large aircraft trying to land forgetting to lower the wheels.

Decades ago I visited Bailbrook College ATC training centre (now defunct) several times - one thing that stuck with me was that they unequivocally failed a high proportion of candidates and they were proud of their reject rate.

It takes experience, skills and a particular mindset to do some jobs effectively. Training has a part to play but weeding out the weak candidates is something that seems taboo now - and I don't think that's confined to the medical profession....

Dec 13, 2023 at 7:31 PM | Registered Commentertomo

PostCreate a New Post

Enter your information below to create a new post.
Author Email (optional):
Author URL (optional):
Post:
 
Some HTML allowed: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <code> <em> <i> <strike> <strong>